Will there be a single or multiple superintelligences?

The question of whether there will be a single or multiple superintelligences is a subject of ongoing debate. Some factors which might affect this are:

Rate of Development: The speed at which AGI develops into superintelligence across labs could influence whether we end up with a single or multiple entities. A slow development process might allow for multiple players to catch up, while the argument for a single superintelligence is that the first AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) to reach superintelligent capabilities could rapidly improve itself, achieving a decisive strategic advantage over any competitors, making it impossible to catch up.

Human Intervention: Regulatory or cooperative human action could influence the number of superintelligences that are allowed to develop.

Technical Feasibility: It's still an open question whether the development of AGI, let alone superintelligent AGI, is technically feasible within the foreseeable future.

Both scenarios would present their own opportunities and challenges for AI alignment and governance efforts.